MANILA, Philippines – When political tides shift, so do the policies that govern our tech-driven world. With Trump’s return to the White House all but certain, he’s set to reverse Biden’s AI regulatory framework and add a slew of trade measures. Here’s how his plans could impact AI development in the US and beyond.
Biden’s AI Executive Order at risk
One of Trump’s first moves will likely be repealing Biden’s October 2023 Executive Order on AI. This order, intended to protect national security and advance AI responsibly, established the US AI Safety Institute (AISI) and set strict reporting guidelines for companies on their AI systems’ security and training methods. Biden’s order also directed the Commerce Department’s NIST to create industry standards to address risks and ensure transparency.
However, Trump’s base and political allies are skeptical of these rules. Some Republicans, like Senator Ted Cruz, argue that AI regulations could stifle free expression and innovation, framing these standards as “woke” safety measures. With this opposition, AISI and other regulatory plans could face swift repeal.
Tariffs on technology imports and impacts on AI
Beyond deregulation, Trump plans to enact a 10% general tariff on imports and a hefty 60% tariff on products from China. For AI-focused companies dependent on advanced GPUs and chips, this move could raise costs and reduce access to critical hardware for AI training. Some tech experts worry this might hinder the US in the global AI race, limiting computational resources for innovation.
AI workforce challenges and talent restrictions
Trump’s proposed H-1B visa restrictions could also impact AI firms, which rely on international talent. Reductions in work visas may make it harder for companies to find and retain skilled workers, slowing down AI advancements in the US. Additionally, his plans to prioritize fossil fuels could further limit resources needed for high-compute AI models.
The potential influence of state laws and tech giants
If federal regulations fade, states might fill the gaps. States like Tennessee, Colorado, and California have already enacted their own AI laws. Meanwhile, Trump ally Elon Musk, who supported his campaign, could see favorable policy shifts for his companies, including his AI venture, xAI.
Trump’s administration could ultimately push for fewer restrictions while encouraging “AI for human flourishing.” But with minimal details, the impact of his policies on AI remains speculative. For now, the tech world is bracing for a new chapter in US tech policy.
FAQs
Q: What is Trump’s stance on AI regulation?
A: Trump plans to repeal Biden’s 2023 AI Executive Order and reduce federal AI regulations.
Q: How could Trump’s proposed tariffs affect AI companies?
A: New tariffs, especially on GPU imports, may raise costs for AI companies, limiting access to critical hardware for AI development.
Q: Will state-level AI regulations change if federal laws are removed?
A: States like California, Colorado, and Tennessee have already enacted AI laws and may expand regulations if federal oversight decreases.
Q: What is the role of Elon Musk in Trump’s AI plans?
A: Elon Musk, who supported Trump’s campaign, may gain regulatory influence for his AI and tech ventures under the new administration.
Q: How might Trump’s visa policies impact AI talent in the US?
A: Reductions in H-1B visas could make it harder for AI companies to hire international talent.
